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According to CITIC Securities, it is necessary for deficit ratio to rise to nearly 4%, and mortgage interest rates is expected to fall further. According to Yicai, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. Regarding what it means to change the tone of fiscal policy from "positive" to "more positive", the chief economist of CITIC Securities clearly said that I think it means that the whole fiscal policy will be further expanded next year. First of all, from the perspective of deficit ratio, our deficit ratio is 3% this year and 3% at the beginning of last year. However, we had a special budget adjustment at the end of last year, so the deficit ratio from the end of last year to the end of last year was actually 3.8%. Looking forward to next year, we think that the ratio that may be close to 4% should be the effect that everyone expects to achieve at present. In terms of monetary policy, we can see a series of monetary policies, including further relaxing some restrictions on purchase restriction and loan restriction, including the down payment ratio, and a particularly important one is to reduce the mortgage interest rates. I think these monetary policies will be further promoted in the future, and even further declined in mortgage interest rates, for example.Beijing officially launched the online game boutique publishing project. At the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference held today, Zhai Degang, deputy director of the Propaganda Department of Beijing Municipal Committee and director of Beijing Press and Publication Bureau, said that Beijing Press and Publication Bureau would organize the implementation of the online game boutique publishing project to guide and drive the high-quality development of Beijing's game industry. It is reported that the online game boutique publishing project will focus on five key directions: spreading positive mainstream values, carrying forward the spirit of Chinese culture, showing the style of the capital era, highlighting the vitality of scientific and technological innovation, and having the potential for international communication. Five supporting mechanisms including priority recommendation, whole-process incubation, copyright protection, platform service and talent guarantee mechanism will be implemented. The works selected for the project will be included in the Beijing online game key selection database, and priority will be given to the national-level promotion and selection projects, and incentives will be given.Sumeida: Its mechanical and electrical company won two standby power supply projects in succession. According to Sumeida, in the fourth quarter of 2024, Sumeida went all out to sprint the annual target task. Its mechanical and electrical company continued to deepen the domestic and international markets and won two standby power supply projects in succession, namely, the first-phase mechanical and electrical equipment room supporting project of China Mobile Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao (Shaoguan) data center and the standby power supply project with an annual output of 100,000 tons of high-purity silicon-based materials in the Middle East.

The United Nations estimates that more than 1.1 million Syrian civilians have been displaced. The United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said on the 12th that more than 1.1 million Syrian civilians have been displaced since the latest escalation of the situation in Syria. (Xinhua News Agency)Sinotrans set up a new logistics development company in Chongqing with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Sinotrans Southwest (Chongqing) Logistics Development Co., Ltd. was recently established with Zhou Tao as its legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: international freight forwarding by sea; Land international freight forwarding agent; Packaging service; Customs declaration business, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Sinotrans.Alipay sells cryptocurrency funds? Originally an indirect investment in a product of Huabao Fund, the subscription has been suspended. Recently, some netizens found that Huabao Fund promoted a fund product issued by Huabao Fund in Alipay-QDII-FOF-LOF C (hereinafter referred to as "Huabao Overseas Technology C"), promoting "riding the wind to encrypt the rising market of currency" and "the representative of subversive innovation technology: cryptocurrency". According to the report of Warburg Overseas Technology C in the third quarter of this year, among the top ten funds with the highest fair value at the end of the reporting period, five were only index funds managed by Ark Investment Management under Cathy Wood, the "Mujie", accounting for 73.12% of the total. The reporter logged on to several consignment platforms such as Ant Fortune, Licaitong, Tiantian Fund, China Merchants Bank, Snowball Fund and found that the product was sold on the above platforms, but from December 11th, the large subscription of Class A shares and Class C shares was suspended, and the daily limit for each person was 1000 yuan RMB. However, on December 13th, Huabao Overseas Science and Technology Stock Securities Investment Fund announced that it would suspend subscription and regular fixed investment business. (21 Finance)

Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.The winning bid rate of China's 2-year treasury bonds was 1.06%, which was 31 basis points lower than last month. The Ministry of Finance of China issued treasury bonds today, and the weighted average winning bid rate of 2-year varieties was 1.06%. The data shows that the bid-winning interest rate is about 31 basis points lower than that when the national debt of the same term was issued in November, the lowest since Bloomberg recorded it in 2004.Youhao Group established a new company of commodity purchasing center. According to the enterprise search APP, Shihezi Youhao Commodity Purchasing Center Co., Ltd. was recently established, with the legal representative of Yang Weihong and the registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: publication retail; Drug retail; Liquor business; Internet sales of food; The third kind of medical device management, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Friendship Group.